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Category: Cognitive Bias

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I Read It On The Internet…

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on November 28, 2016May 8, 2018

Most people, it turns out, aren’t really all that skeptical. The 2016 election has taught us that what passes as ‘news’ isn’t always very true. […]

I Read It On The Internet… Read More

It’s Perfect! Very accurate, with a low false positive rate…

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on November 28, 2016November 28, 2016

He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp posts – for support rather than for illumination. – Andrew Lang I recently attended a conference […]

It’s Perfect! Very accurate, with a low false positive rate… Read More

The Percentile Fallacy

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on November 27, 2016November 28, 2016

Tallinn, Estonia In ancient times they had no statistics so they had to fall back on lies. – Stephen Leacock In almost every situation where data […]

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What The 2016 Election Can Teach Us About Science

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on November 15, 2016November 15, 2016

A lot of folks on both ends of the political spectrum were shocked at the results of the recent national election. Virtually every poll and […]

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Debiasing Strategies

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on August 25, 2016

All men make mistakes, but a good man yields when he knows his course is wrong, and repairs the evil. The only crime is pride. — […]

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Cognitive Bias

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on August 23, 2016August 23, 2016

(This cartoon and nine more similar ones are here). Our human reasoning and decision-making processes are inherently flawed. Faced with so many decisions to be made every […]

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Lessons Learned From Magnesium

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on August 13, 2016August 25, 2016

How did our profession get so far down the wrong track regarding magnesium? Why is it today that most women in preterm labor are still […]

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Penis Captivus and The Cult of Personality in Medicine

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on July 31, 2016August 1, 2016

Sir William Osler editing his textbook of medicine in 1891 at Johns Hopkins.  Ah, Sir William Osler. Who doesn’t love a good Osler quote? My […]

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The Myth of the Black Cloud and Other Superstitions

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on July 17, 2016July 17, 2016

If you’re in medicine, you have undoubtedly heard of a person with a “black cloud.” Maybe you’ve also heard of a person with a “white […]

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Risk, or The Game of Life?

By Howard Herrell, MDPosted on July 11, 2016July 11, 2016

The ideal physician is not risk-averse but rather is a risk-mitigator. Risk is inescapable. We have to be able to understand risks in real terms […]

Risk, or The Game of Life? Read More

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